Posts tagged climate change
What would true representation of future generations look like?

At the moment our society is very short-term oriented. Our economy focuses on short-term economic growth, materialism, and promotes overconsumption. Our media focuses on the breaking news of today, but often leaves out long-term trends. Our politicians are influenced by lobbyists, election campaigns and their four-year election cycle. And even our brains are programmed to focus on the short-term.

This short-term thinking has disastrous consequences for how we shape our society. It impacts our natural environment, and through that the living environment we pass on to future generations. We engage in large scale destructive activities, such as destroying and polluting habitats and causing the extinction of animal species. With chemicals and plastics we pollute the water, soil, plants and animals that we and future generations depend on, for example for food and drinking water. On many places nature is exhausted and in need of regeneration. And like humans of future generations, non-human nature does not have a voice in the political decision-making that shapes its future.

What if we could give future generations a voice? And what if they were genuinely heard? For example, we could lower the voting age to let young people vote for their future. Or we could establish a parliamentary committee, ministry, commissioner or ombudsperson that will represent the interests and needs of future generations—locally and nationally, in every chamber or council where decisions are being made. How could they incorporate the needs and interests of all?

And what if we change our political, economic and legal institutions a bit, in a way that will prevent them from making choices with small short-term benefits and large long-term costs? Maybe the Senate or Upper House—or a new ‘Future House’—could veto plans that would be disastrous for the future? Or we could expect political parties to regularly report on the long-term impact of their party program?

Which examples and actions could we (symbolically) adopt? What would your country look like if it had an open and inclusive procedure to make political decisions, in which the interests of future generations are explicitly considered and prioritised? We will discuss some examples.

The Children’s Fire

The Children’s Fire is an Indigenous tradition, where a symbol—a fire, a candle, or a flower arrangement—is placed in the middle of a decision-making space to symbolically represent future generations. Through this, all actions, decisions and thoughts are at the service of the wellbeing of children and future generations of all species in nature, till seven generations into the future. Is the proposal also in the interest of future generations? Then it’s adopted. Is it (also) detrimental to future generations? Then we won’t do it.

Citizens’ assemblies

What if everyday citizens—free of the short-term pressures of elections, media or making profit—would have a bigger voice in matters that influence the wellbeing of future generations? Citizens’ assemblies are multi-day gatherings where ordinary citizens learn about societal problems, deliberate the issue, and form recommendations for policy-making. The group of citizens is picked through lottery, and proportionally reflects the citizens in their constituency. So not politicians who want to win your vote, or scientists who sometimes forget everyday reality, but fellow citizens engage in open, independent and informed conversations. And because these citizens from diverse backgrounds learn about their topic together, and deliberate on the pros and cons, citizens’ assemblies often end in mutual understanding and widely supported proposals for change.

In the Netherlands there are plans for a citizens’ assembly about the future of agriculture in the country, and other places like Scotland and France have already organised successful assemblies on climate change. Or maybe instead of organising one-off and ad hoc assemblies, we could also integrate continues citizens’ assemblies in our political system, such as in East-Belgium.

Ombudspersons for Future Generations

What would it be like if we had local representatives who represent the interests of our and future generations? No weekly meetings about the future, but a representation and dedication for the children of tomorrow. An Ombudsperson or Municipal Commissioner for Future Generations can actively work on policies, regulations and legislation that translate the interests of our great-grandchildren into our actions; in the here and now.

 

The annual Day of the Future

What if, once a year, we completely focus on the future? For a full day, we truly prioritise the wellbeing of current and future generations? This day, leaders of political parties could publish a rapport on how their party program will positively or negatively influence—the climate, living environment, wellbeing, society and opportunities of—children and future generations. Media could focus the nation’s attention to how we can build a better future together. Schools could help their students think about the future that they want, and how they can influence their future, for example with the Toolkit for Future Thinking. And an annual speech of the nation’s royalty or ombudsperson for future generations will inspire the nation with a vision about building the best possible future.

 

Lab Toekomstige Generaties (‘Lab Future Generations’) is a collaboration of professionals in the Netherlands, which includes the Dutch Observing Ombudsperson for Future Generations. Their mission is to ensure that in 2050 future generations are considered in all important decisions in the Netherlands, and the world.

Nicky van Dijk is PhD-candidate at the law faculty of the University of Tasmania. Her research focuses on why and how we should consider the interests of young people and future generations in our legal and political institutions.

This article was originally published in Dutch on the website of Lab Toekomstige Generaties under the title ‘Hoe zou werkelijke representative van toekomstige generaties eruit zien?’, on 23 November 2021.

Giving Future Generations a Voice - public forum recording

On Tuesday 16 October the Climate Justice Network, sponsored by the law faculty of the University of Tasmania, organised a public forum about Giving Future Generations a Voice.

You can find the recording of this night below. We apologise for the bad resolution, but hope you can nevertheless enjoy the recording as a podcast.

The night was moderated by former Tasmanian Anti-Discrimination Commissioner Robin Banks, and the panel included:

Prof Jonathan Boston (Victoria University of Wellington, NZ)
Associate Prof Bridget Lewis (School of Law, QUT)
Dr Peter Lawrence, (Senior Lecturer, UTAS Faculty of Law )
Jan Linehan (Adjunct Researcher, UTAS Faculty of Law)
Dr Phillipa McCormack (post-doctoral researcher Adelaide Law School, Adjunct Lecturer UTAS Faculty of Law)
Nicky van Dijk (PhD-candidate, UTAS Faculty of Law)
Cleo Hansen-Lohrey (PhD-candidate, UTAS Faculty of Law)

The Queensland government’s royalty holiday to Adani violates World Trade Organisation rules

Fossil fuel subsidies should be prohibited and phased out globally. They encourage, rather than deter, the extraction and consumption of fossil fuels, and in doing so set the world back in efforts to address the climate crisis, including through the achievement of the Paris Agreement’s goal to limit global warming to 2°C, and as close to 1.5°C as possible.

 

Yet the Australian Government, amongst others, continues propping up the coal, oil and gas sectors with public money. The Prime Minister has spoken of a ‘gas-fired recovery’ from the economic hit of the COVID-19 pandemic, a frightening concept following the 2019-2020 Australian bushfire season. To deal with one crisis by exacerbating another is of course not a sensible way to ‘recover’. 

 

And gas is just one fossil fuel the Government seems determined to support financially. Set to be Australia’s largest mine, the Carmichael Coalmine is being developed in Central Queensland by Bravus Mining and Resources (Bravus), formerly Adani. The Queensland Government has granted the mine a seven-year ‘royalty holiday’, which means postponing the payment of royalty fees for coal sold from the Carmichael Coalmine.

 

Internationally, subsidies are regulated by the World Trade Organisation’s (WTO) Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures (ASCM). The ASCM specifically prohibits certain subsidies and classifies other subsidies as ‘actionable’ if they cause adverse effects to other WTO Members.

 

Is the royalty holiday a subsidy?

For the purposes of the ASCM, a subsidy is deemed to exist if there is a financial contribution by a government or public body and a benefit is thereby conferred. The agreement between Bravus and the Queensland government is that the royalties will be deferred and eventually repayable with interest, which constitutes a loan. While the royalty holiday is not an explicit ‘transfer’ of funds, similar measures including tax concessions and the modification of a loan through debt forgiveness have been held to constitute a direct transfer of funds by the WTO in the past, fitting within its definition of a ‘financial contribution’. Moreover,the annual interest rate of 2-3% is more favourable than any commercial loan available to other Queensland industries or to Queenslanders themselves, meaning the loan confers a benefit to Bravus.

 

It the royalty holiday prohibited by the WTO?

The ASCM prohibits certain subsidies, including those contingent in law or fact on export performance.

 

The negotiations of the royalty holiday at issue were shrouded in secrecy, and there has been no disclosure of the loan’s value, size, the length of repayment, or the type of security. We cannot know whether its granting was contingent in law on export performance.

 

But a subsidy is de facto export contingent when its granting is ‘geared’ to promote the recipient’s ‘future export performance’. Factors that can indicate export contingency include the country’s awareness that their domestic economy is unable to absorb the subsidized product’s production, the recipient’s export orientation, and the scale of exports, amongst other things.

 

The ASCM is clear that a WTO Member, which Australia is, shall neither grant nor maintain subsidies contingent, in law or in fact, upon export performance.

 

We know that coal production for domestic consumption, especially on the scale proposed by Bravus, is unnecessary. Demand is met by current production levels, and renewables continue to decrease domestic demand for coal. The Australian economy is unable to absorb the Carmichael Coalmine’s coal. Bravus is clearly export orientated, making well known its intention to export coal primarily to India. And the scale is vast: the Carmichael Coalmine will produce over 2.3 billion tonnes of coal over its 60-year lifespan.

 

Based on these factors, it seems the royalty holiday is indeed de facto export contingent, and hence prohibited by the WTO’s ASCM.

 

What next?

Despite the vast scale of fossil fuel subsidies globally, no disputes have been brought before the WTO challenging them under the ASCM. They seem to be tolerated despite being at odds with the WTO’s core values of open markets and trade liberalization, as well as its commitment to sustainable development.

 

In theory, any WTO member that has reason to believe that a prohibited subsidy is being granted or maintained by another member may refer the matter to the Dispute Settlement Body. This Body will establish a panel to determine whether the measure in question is a prohibited subsidy, and will recommend the subsidy be removed if it is found to be prohibited.

 

However, the lack of transparency in subsidy reporting in accordance with ACSM requirements may prevent members from taking action on, or negotiating an end to subsidies. The strongest hope for action lies in non-government organisations, notifying Bravus royalty holiday to the WTO Secretariat’s Trade Policy Review Body. This body regularly reports on the trade policies of WTO members, which can shame members into compliance with WTO law, and encourage others to take action through the WTO’s dispute settlement system.

 

Andonny Papastamatis is a final year Bachelor of Arts and Bachelor of Laws student at the University of Tasmania

Camilla More is a researcher and Australian-qualified lawyer, specialising in international climate law and policy. She holds a Bachelor of Science and Bachelor of Laws with Honours from the University of Tasmania. 

“Youth Verdict” challenge: testing a human rights approach to climate litigation in the Queensland Land Court

Last week, a group of young Queenslanders – via an organisation called “Youth Verdict” – announced that they are challenging Clive Palmer’s Galilee Coal Project development by lodging objections in Queensland’s Land Court.

The challenge relies on Queensland’s nascent Human Rights Act 2019 and thus represents the first time in an Australian court that a human rights claim has been raised in the context of climate change and fossil fuel development. A summary of the legal and factual basis of the challenge prepared by the Environmental Defenders Office (the lawyers representing Youth Verdict) is available here, and an academic discussion of the potential applicability of Queensland’s Human Rights Act to challenges to coal developments in Queensland can be found here.

This is an exciting test case of the applicability of the Human Rights Act’s protection of the right to life (among other rights) to new fossil fuel developments that will contribute to climate change. The challenge also reflects a continuation of the so-called “rights turn” in global climate change litigation. The stories of the young people represented by Youth Verdict have been front-and-center in the challenge’s early media coverage, suggesting a strategic convergence between climate litigants and the broader, youth-dominated Australian climate movement. And the use of the #youthvcoal hashtag to promote the challenge on social media further indicates a desire to connect the challenge to other youth-focused climate lawsuits globally (e.g. #youthvgov and #youthvcan).

It will be very interesting to see to what extent Youth Verdict appeals to, and to what extent the Land Court adopts, foreign and international jurisprudence on human rights and climate change. Thanks to a series of recent statements from various UN bodies, it is increasingly beyond question that – from the standpoint of international law – greenhouse gas emissions contributing to climate change violate human rights, and governments therefore must reduce emissions to protect human rights. The Urgenda judgment in early-January, which was based in-part on Article 2 of the European Convention on Human Rights’ protection of the right to life, provides a further precedent on which the Land Court potentially could base its reasoning. It is difficult to imagine the Land Court diverging greatly from this body of jurisprudence, let alone rejecting it wholesale.

However, it is not beyond the realm of possibility that the Land Court may find other ways to reject or avoid considering Youth Verdict’s challenge. One reason – foreshadowed by Bell-James and Collins – would be if the market substitution argument (i.e., that if coal is not sourced from this mine it necessarily will be sourced from elsewhere) were accepted, and thereby undermined Youth Verdict’s claim of a causal link between approving new coal developments and human rights impacts from climate change. Given that the proceedings before the Land Court are a merits review, and given recent judgments like Gloucester Resources, such an outcome would run against trends in other Australian jurisdictions.

A further reason for rejecting the challenge could be on justiciability grounds. This too would be somewhat puzzling. Refusing consideration of the human rights impacts from the greenhouse gas emission of new coal developments, in circumstances where Queensland’s parliament has explicitly empowered the Land Court to consider human rights, and where other courts have affirmed that human rights are inextricably linked with climate change, would be emblematic of what Kysar and Ewing have called a “duck and weave” approach to adjudicating climate change. While those authors were referring to tort claims, their cautioning against “a jurisdictional self-limitation that unnecessarily impedes the ability” of the judiciary “to continue to evolve with changed circumstances and to remain open for the airing of future grievances” arguably applies with even greater force where a statutory claim is concerned. On the other hand, a full and thorough consideration by the Land Court of Youth Verdict’s claims – whatever the ultimate result – would mark the first time an Australian court had considered the merits of human rights arguments in a climate change context, and would contribute greatly to the ongoing maturation of climate change litigation in Australia.

Danny Noonan is a climate change advocate, scholar, and Australian-qualified lawyer. He is a co-founder and board member of Breach, a newly-established organisation that partners with frontline communities to advance climate justice through legal advocacy, grassroots organizing, and strategic communications.

COVID-19 and climate change

COVID-19 has had profound impacts locally and globally. It has prompted unprecedented policy responses around the world. And further major geopolitical, economic and social impacts seem likely. But the overall consequences of public health emergencies, even pandemics, are modest compared to the threats humanity faces from the ongoing failure to live within safe planetary boundaries. 

Consider briefly how COVID-19 and climate change compare. The former poses an immediate threat; it demands mostly short-term policy responses. Climate change, by comparison, will generate significant and ongoing threats across multiple generations. Reducing these threats requires immediate, but also sustained, policy responses. Yet even if greenhouse gas emissions are cut drastically over coming decades, humanity will have no choice but to adapt to the many damaging impacts of climate change. And adaptation will need to continue for hundreds of years. This is a terrible prospect.

To be sure, COVID-19 can kill many people. But the death toll from climate change will be much greater. More importantly, it undermines the capacity to preserve life – both human and non-human. 

COVID-19 can be suppressed, if not eliminated, presuming an effective vaccine can be found. But no vaccine can help humanity mitigate or adapt to climate change; nor is there a ready cure for policy inaction and government failure. 

In short, COVID-19 and climate change differ in significant ways. Yet they also have notable similarities. These, in turn, have major implications for public policy.

First, both COVID-19 and climate change are powerful societal disruptors; they generate non-linear changes and non-incremental shocks; and they are risk multipliers. From a policy perspective, they serve as powerful ‘focussing events’ and ‘critical junctures’. While posing huge political risks, they also create remarkable opportunities for policy reform.

Second, they are both fundamentally science-based problems. In each case effective technical solutions and sensible policy responses depend upon reliable scientific evidence from multiple disciplines. Hence, both highlight the critical role of public investment in research, monitoring, and reporting – and, equally, the need for governmental transparency, openness and honesty. Similarly, both require technological innovations. But their implementation depends upon robust public services and infrastructure – whether educational, digital or physical.

Third, COVID-19 and climate change highlight the importance of governmental preparedness and precautionary interventions. Delays are costly – indeed tragic. Accordingly, effective responses need robust long-term thinking and sound anticipatory governance. The latter includes the capacity to identify weak signals early, assess risks, develop risk management strategies, implement pro-active measures, and build societal resilience. More specifically, both phenomenaillustrate the critical role of governments in protecting biosecurity, biosafety and public health. This, in turn, depends on robust systems and processes, but also wise leadership.

Fourth, both problems are quintessentially global. They underscore humanity’s utter interdependence – economically and socially. For effective responses international cooperation and solidarity are pivotal. Yet, equally, both problems highlight the weaknesses and limitations of our current international institutions, and the capacity of the major powers, especially China and the United States, to thwart global solutions. In so doing, they reveal the fragility and vulnerability of our digital civilization, and the poverty of global leadership.

In the quest for effective policy measures to mitigate climate change, the COVID-19 pandemic offers two hopeful lessons. First, with sufficient political will, extraordinary policy interventions are possible. Second, rapid and widespread behavioural change is achievable if there are compelling reasons, coupled with bold leadership and consistent political messaging. 

Against this, troubling lessons are also apparent. The pandemic suggests that effective policy responses to climate change will not be implemented until humanity faces sufficiently compelling and urgent threats (e.g. the immediate risk of mass fatalities or large-scale property losses). Recent events also show how easily urgent issues can divert political attention from major long-term issues, narrow the mental bandwidths of decision-makers, and shift the focus of the entire global community. 

Regrettably, COVID-19 offers little hope of a near-term embrace, whether locally or globally, of the policies urgently needed for an environmentally sustainable future. If this conclusion is valid, then the intergenerational implications are truly sobering.

Jonathan Boston is Professor of Public Policy at the Wellington School of Business and Government at the Victoria University of Wellington in New Zealand

Climate Change Litigation’s Unfolding Future, Part 2: Australia

Part One of this post summarised the global developments in climate litigation and the climate justice and liability movements since 2018. Part Two turns its focus to developments in Australia, which has had second-most climate cases globally (more than 90 according to the Sabin Center for Climate Change Law). In continuing to recognise that climate change litigation is situated within and a conscious strategic choice of social movements, this Part first considers developments in the Australian climate movement before focusing on litigation.

The two major trends in the global climate movement discussed in Part One are mirrored in Australia. The degree of public outcry––first as part of the globally-coordinated Friday climate strikes and then in the protests responding to the inadequacy of the government response to the summer 2019-2020 bushfires––is arguably unprecedented in the recent history of Australian environmentalism. Indeed, to describe these protests in terms of “environmentalism” seems somewhat antiquated. Reflecting the “rights-turn” in climate litigation, the public discourse around the bushfires increasingly has focused on its human dimensions rather than its ecological dimensions (to the extent that these can be treated as separate concepts, and not to discount the incredible ecological damage wrought by the fires). The momentum and public pressure created by these protest waves has been smothered in recent months––first by the torrential rains that both extinguished the fires and compounded their ecological impact, and then by coronavirus-mandated social distancing that prevents mass protest (although climate activists are innovating here, too)––but is poised to re-emerge post-pandemic and in the wake of future climate disasters. A nascent green new deal discourse is also taking hold in Australia, advanced at the parliamentary level by new Greens leader Adam Bandt and at the grassroots by groups such as the Climate Justice Collective.

Australia, too, is seeing several major developments in the climate litigation landscape. To begin with, I was perhaps too dismissive of the ongoing potential of conventional administrative litigation. The Rocky Hill case is a landmark judgment, and a stroke of strategic genius insofar as it arose out of a targeted community intervention in a merits hearing, in circumstances where the original decision-maker had recommended denying the environmental approval. But even this significant victory has its caveats. Despite influencing a number of successive judgments and administrative decisions, the precedent set in the Rocky Hill Case regrettably has not been any less vulnerable to the same kind of political intervention and legislative override at the behest of the fossil fuel industry that plagued earlier legal victories in Australia. Additionally, I would argue that, to the extent that the success of the Rocky Hill litigation has resonated with the public more profoundly than previous legal actions, this is arguably because the central legal argument in the case does not concern more esoteric environmental considerations or matters of administrative procedure, but instead echoes the “keep it in the ground” discourse contained within the broader movement. 

The potential for ongoing political meddling notwithstanding, an approach focusing on the destructive climate impact of Australia’s fossil fuel exports is perhaps indicative of the direction that conventional administrative climate change litigation will take in Australia. In my opinion, this is a welcome development. Australia’s greatest contribution to the global issue of climate change arguably is not in reducing its in-boundary emissions (although it is of course important that Australia be an early mover on mitigation, energy system transformation and renewable energy development, and shift to being a constructive and non-obstructionist actor in international negotiations) but in keeping its vast coal and gas reserves undeveloped.

Beyond the Rocky Hill Litigation, we are also seeing new approaches being developed and tested in Australia. A clear example of this is the McVeigh litigation testing the duties of Superannuation fund managers to consider climate-related risks to their investment portfolio. This case is slated for trial later this year. Another example is the petition to the UN Human Rights Committee on behalf of Torres Strait Islander representatives. Although the outcome of the petition process is not enforceable domestically, it is an important legal forum to assess the human rights implications of Australia’s conduct on climate change. A strong outcome from the Human Rights Committee may have positive political ramifications, and pave the way for future novel legal approaches under State-level human rights charters or a future Commonwealth charter of rights.

One further development worth mentioning briefly is the decision of each of the formerly state-based environmental defenders offices (EDOs) in Australia to merge into a single national organisation. It remains to be seen what kind of impact this will have in terms of promoting novel litigation approaches. It might be thought that such a move would further homogenise the sector and thereby limit the potential for pioneering litigators to emerge. However, to the extent that this merger allows a national EDO to attract more funding and apply its resources to key fossil fuel struggles without geographic limitation, this could allow the sector-leading EDO to overcome its previous resource constraints and increase the potential for more impactful litigation. That one of the first cases filed by the new EDO seeks to compel the NSW Environmental Protection Authority to regulate greenhouse gas emissions (an argument paralleling Massachusetts v. EPA), and puts the impacts to and stories of its clients front-and-centre, is cause for optimism.

Conclusion

Both globally and in Australia, the climate justice and liability movement has exploded in the last 24 months, and is as strong and vibrant as ever. In particular, we are seeing increasing synergies between the demands of climate change litigation and the broader movement. Many of these trends are catching on in Australia to greater and lesser extents. Nevertheless, we are still yet to see litigation in Australia that has the scope, ambition, framing and transformative potential of an Urgenda or Juliana. The trends covered in this post do suggest, however, that such a breakthrough may be near and that, as the culture outside the courtroom shifts, its prospects and strategic potential are greater now than at any point previously. Furthermore, if and when the climate movement succeeds in achieving its demands ––a rapid economic transformation and deep emission reduction at a scale proportionate to the scientific urgency of the climate crisis, while simultaneously creating jobs and revitalising the welfare state––the work of the legal community may then be needed to ensure that these policies and programs are not undermined by challenges from the fossil fuel industry, and are properly implemented and enforced.

Danny Noonan is a climate change advocate, scholar, and Australian-qualified lawyer. He is a co-founder and board member of Breach, a newly-established organisation that partners with frontline communities to advance climate justice through legal advocacy, grassroots organizing, and strategic communications.

 

Coronavirus and climate change: Lessons in intergenerational equity

 One of the most striking features of the coronavirus pandemic currently sweeping the world is that the disease appears to have far graver consequences for older people than for youth. According to a new study that analyses the effects of coronavirus in China during January and February, the severity of the disease increases markedly as the age of those afflicted rises. In China, victims under 40 faced a fatality rate of less than 0.1 percent, and were far less likely to need hospitalization at all than other patients; victims in their 60s, on the other hand, experienced a fatality rate of about 2 percent, and those over 80 a rate of almost 8 percent. (It’s worth noting, though, that hospitalization and mortality rates for younger people appear to be higher in the U.S. and perhaps other countries.)

Public health officials have as a result faced a challenge in conveying to young people who believe they are unlikely to suffer severe consequences if they contract the virus that they nonetheless need to make sacrifices to protect their elders. Specifically, they have been asked to maintain social distancing and, in many cases, to make significant financial sacrifices as multiple streams of the economy dry up. It’s no wonder that this has not always been an easy sell for public health agencies, and that many news accounts have showcased young people rebelliously gathering at such hotspots as college spring break destinations in FloridaBondi Beach in Sydney, and even so-called “coronavirus parties.” 

Overall, though, it has been striking to witness how calls to maintain social distancing in order to “flatten the curve” and reduce chances of catastrophic collapses in health-care systems have largely been heeded in a sort of demographic solidarity. As teenage climate activist Greta Thunberg tweeted, “We young people are the least affected by this virus but it’s essential that we act in solidarity with the most vulnerable and that we act in the best interest of our common society.”

The coronavirus crisis, then, represents a remarkable mirror image of how intergenerational justice considerations play out around our changing climate. The breakdown of the Earth’s relatively stable climate is a monumental crisis whose costs will be greatest for those who have the most years left to live. It’s impossible to ascribe climate change to any single generation, since both causes and effects have been building for many decades—yet because the causes and likely consequences of climate change have been well known for at least three decades, it is possible to assign especial blame to those who have been in positions of power and privilege during those years. Which means: people who are older now who have consistently favoured short-term goals such as profit and comfort over long-term concerns.

One of the principal arguments of the youth climate movement is that the climate crisis calls for a shift from generational self-interest to intergenerational justice. As Thunberg told assembled world leaders at the United Nations Climate Action Summit last fall: “You are failing us. But the young people are starting to understand your betrayal. The eyes of all future generations are upon you. And if you choose to fail us, I say: We will never forgive you. We will not let you get away with this.”

The coronavirus crisis, then, raises important questions about the workings of intergenerational equity and sacrifice. If coronavirus is to be controlled, young people need to give up some freedom and economic opportunity so that the primary beneficiaries—older people—can live. But if the climate crisis can be controlled at all so that today’s young people have a shot at a liveable future, it is those who are in positions of political, economic, and social power today—primarily older people—who need to sacrifice some comfort and profits for the sake of the future. Assuming the coronavirus crisis abates, will world leaders such as President Donald Trump in the U.S. and Prime Minister Scott Morrison in Australia, both of whom have been very friendly toward fossil fuel interests, finally concede that generational turnabout is fair play, and that they’re willing to foreground the interests of the young?

 

Peter Friederici is director of the Sustainable Communities Program and a professor in the School of Communication at Northern Arizona University. Peter writes on science and climate communication-among other things. Peter and his family recently visited Tasmania. Corvid 19 meant his visit was shortened, but we are hoping he will write for us again and come back soon.